Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.636939 0.754977 0.883396 1.032821 1.201220 1.384447 1.598176
2025-04-20 0.436926 0.595012 0.785135 1.027287 1.323956 1.671972 2.107229
2025-04-27 0.311485 0.484701 0.713394 1.028936 1.443779 1.961032 2.644173
2025-05-04 0.224856 0.398555 0.649069 1.020637 1.539990 2.221534 3.162479
2025-05-11 0.160876 0.325272 0.583810 0.994201 1.600500 2.432682 3.626086
2025-05-18 0.122212 0.279763 0.547950 0.999804 1.699571 2.696454 4.170803
2025-05-25 0.088843 0.232508 0.498144 0.973347 1.743913 2.881298 4.612697
2025-06-01 0.069324 0.205180 0.475575 0.984852 1.843034 3.147067 5.178832
2025-06-08 0.052543 0.177470 0.445900 0.978331 1.909991 3.365801 5.684634
2025-06-15 0.044660 0.167838 0.448890 1.028752 2.072292 3.736674 6.430423
2025-06-22 0.036464 0.154146 0.440500 1.056087 2.196210 4.052647 7.105613
2025-06-29 0.027087 0.132684 0.410440 1.037074 2.236668 4.236306 7.584237
2025-07-06 0.021334 0.120032 0.398629 1.054408 2.346053 4.542435 8.275552
2025-07-13 0.016237 0.106691 0.382202 1.060183 2.435164 4.820896 8.937560
2025-07-20 0.012296 0.095082 0.367313 1.066948 2.526156 5.106792 9.623248
2025-07-27 0.008925 0.083053 0.347958 1.060647 2.590743 5.349926 10.248454
2025-08-03 0.006025 0.070090 0.321862 1.034374 2.612810 5.518962 10.757132
2025-08-10 0.004406 0.062565 0.310194 1.040583 2.699811 5.805414 11.470003
2025-08-17 0.002832 0.052546 0.286761 1.013474 2.714942 5.962396 11.969109
2025-08-24 0.002050 0.047491 0.279046 1.025430 2.812387 6.272015 12.736375
2025-08-31 0.001354 0.041413 0.265221 1.018737 2.868545 6.507097 13.382270
2025-09-07 0.001129 0.040568 0.272281 1.070779 3.057099 6.996710 14.484203
2025-09-14 0.000843 0.037957 0.271036 1.098985 3.193974 7.393513 15.434503